A fracture? Price cuts are mixed? No matter how the property market is called, what can really predict the property market is the market supply and transaction demand.
First of all, Kerry made statistics on the transaction data of new house supply in Guangzhou last week:
Supply of new houses in Guangzhou last week
In terms of supply, in the 29th week, 13 commercial housing (full caliber) projects in Guangzhou had new supply, with a supply area of 472700 m2.
Among them, the caliber of commercial housing, that is, a total of 9 new housing projects in Guangzhou were supplied last week, with a total supply of 4490 sets, with a supply area of 438900 m2, an increase of 147% month on month, accounting for 93% of the supply of commercial housing in the city.
From a regional perspective, Huangpu is the main supply area, supplying 2386 units, with a supply area of 243800 m2, accounting for 56% of the city’s supply. The supply comes from Yueguang garden and Xinghui Shangjing garden.
New houses in Guangzhou were sold last week
In the 29th week, the transaction area of commercial houses (full caliber) was 232400 m2, of which the transaction area of commercial houses was 192100 m2, accounting for 83% of the city’s trading volume.
According to Kerui data, 1823 new houses were sold in Guangzhou last week, with a transaction area of 192100 m2, an increase of 48% month on month.
Zengcheng District sold 519 units, with a transaction area of 49700 m2, and the trading volume ranked first in the city; The second is Nansha District, where 311 units were sold, with a transaction area of 29300 m2, ranking second in the city.
Baiyun District sold 229 sets, second only to Zengcheng Nansha, squeezing out Huangpu District and becoming the third place in the transaction last week.
I do not know whether it is affected by the news that the project filing price has been reduced by 3%. Recently, developers have accelerated their efforts to strive for pre-sale certificates, and the project promotion is still positive. From the latest inventory of new houses, by the end of the 29th week, the inventory area of commercial houses in the city was 9.574 million m2, and the digestion cycle was 8.04 months.
The property market is obviously restless
In addition, to sum up, the supply and trading volume of new houses in Guangzhou increased month on month last week, and the downward trend was temporarily stopped; However, it has been monitored recently that the market is in a state of warm water. The dynamics of price reduction and the competition between new and old sites make the property market restless again.
After all, after the detailed rules of “land acquisition amount does not exceed 40% of annual sales”, it is no exaggeration to say that the full payment and even 70% of house purchase will become the mainstream of most developers’ real estate. Developers are increasing their horsepower, selling more houses and taking more money in order to strive for more land acquisition amount.
In contrast to the developers’ evil trend of price reduction, buyers continue to have disputes over new houses, such as “price reduction as soon as they buy”, “price reduction is also afraid, there is no full fund”
People in the industry also have many views on this phenomenon, and even compare the tightness of regulation at this stage with the purchase and loan restriction environment in Guangzhou in March 2017. At that time, as soon as the 330 policy was issued, the purchase and loan restriction was upgraded, and the market was rapidly cooling down.
Kerry Guangzhou analysts believe that the market environment is the same as and different from that of 330. In short, the intensity can be said to be almost the same, but the form is different. At that time, a bomb was thrown out and slowly repaired. Now it is boiling frogs in warm water and throwing knives at the back.