Since the beginning of this year, the regulatory policies of the real estate market in many places have increased, and the market has continuously released tightening signals, including cracking down on the illegal entry of business loans into the real estate market, establishing a price guidance mechanism for second-hand housing, and strictly supervising the implementation of bank housing loan policies, etc. In this case, recently, some “experts” boldly predicted that in the second half of the year, the national real estate market will usher in the first wave of depreciation, and house prices will generally decline, even more than ordinary people think.
The real estate market has never lacked all kinds of strange theories, and the onlookers are often confused by all kinds of views. In this regard, we should be more rational and sober, less credulous and blindly following. No matter from which point of view, the argument of “property market devaluation tide” is untenable.
In fact, nationwide, the trend of property market differentiation has already formed and will further intensify. There is no so-called “general rise” or “general fall”. For a long time, due to the differences of population flow, supply and demand, land price and other factors in various cities, the uneven situation of real estate market has appeared for a long time. In this regard, all localities make efforts to promote the steady and healthy development of the real estate market. From this point of view, it is obviously unreliable to predict the “general rise” and “general fall” of the national property market. For various purposes, some people concoct statements that do not conform to common sense. It is not difficult to distinguish the true from the false.
In recent years, local governments insist on not taking real estate as a short-term means to stimulate the economy, take stabilizing land price, house price and expectation as the goal, maintain the continuity and stability of regulatory policies, fight against some real estate market chaos and resolutely shut down the door to thank the speculators, which plays a vital role in preventing the ups and downs of housing prices.
Judging the general trend of the property market is inseparable from the in-depth understanding and analysis of the central policy. For the real estate market, the central government has repeatedly made clear the positioning of “real estate, housing and non speculation” and constructed a long-term mechanism to promote the steady and healthy development of the real estate market. Both the central economic work conference and the government work report explicitly mentioned this. It is not difficult to understand that to keep the real estate market stable means that there will be no big ups and downs in the real estate market.
The change of house price is not only affected by the relationship between supply and demand, but also depends on the change of regulatory policy and monetary policy. The situation of real estate market in different places is different. If we want to make a rational analysis of the price of a certain place, we need to analyze various factors and make comprehensive judgments and decisions. At the same time, we should pay enough attention to the hype of some public opinions. Because the “black mouth” of the property market misread the regulatory policies, speculated on the trend of house prices and created panic, which is very unfavorable for the stability of the property market. In this regard, the relevant parties should maintain a high degree of vigilance, carefully identify and boldly expose some arguments with ulterior motives, and make timely interviews and punish them according to law.
(the original title is “black mouth in the property market”
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